Thursday, January 24, 2008

NFL 2007 NIT Divisional Round (w/ What if Sports)

Well, the Wild Card round is in the books of the NFL NIT Tournament, with the favorites sweeping the board. Only 8 teams remain, battling it out for the coveted title of ‘Best team that didn’t make the actual playoffs!’

Simulations have been done with the excellent http://whatifsports.com as well as taking some weather averages from the equally excellent http://weather.com – and I used some dice to factor in precipitation. But enough talk! Time for zee games:


(3) Buffalo @ (2) Houston (55 degrees, clear skies)

Houston continues the favorites undefeated run in the NFL NIT 2007 tournament, winning this one 25-22 after being down by a touchdown with less than three minutes remaining. The Texans tacked on a 2 point conversion just to be safe and be up by a field goal, but the Bills never got downfield to do so. The Texans D held Buffalo to a four and out and player of the game Ron Dayne took care of the rest, sending Houston to the AFC NIT Championship game.

Player of the game: Ron Dayne 14 attempts 100 yards, 1 TD


(4) Carolina @ (1) Philadelphia (30 degrees, moderate snow, moderate winds)

Although the game was all tied at the end of the 1st quarter, the Eagles defense would make sure the Panthers did not score any points after that. Vinny Testaverde did nothing to help his team’s chances with 3 interceptions and Deshaun Foster fumbled in the third quarter, as the Panthers were driving inside Eagle territory. Two Donovan McNabb to Brian Westbrook TD’s in the second half would finalize this one 21-7 and send the Eagles onto the NFC NIT Championship game.

Player of the game: Donovan McNabb 23/34 284 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT


(4) Cincinnati @ (1) Cleveland (25 degrees, clear skies)

In what seemingly has become an NFL NIT trend, this game also went right down to the wire as well as going in favor of the favorite. Derek Anderson showed poise in the pocket as well as cool under pressure, driving his team 78 yards with less than two minutes to go in the game. A 19 yard teardrop to Braylon Edwards made it 26-23 Browns with 32 seconds left. That score would also be the final one, with the Bengals unable to mount a substantial drive or even an attempted field goal.

Player of the game: Derek Anderson 16/23 189 yards 1 TD, 0 INT


(3) Arizona @ (2) Minnesota (Dome, but the weather outside is frightful!)

The Arizona Cardinals ended the underdogs losing streak in the NIT playoffs, with yet another down to the wire finish. Down by a TD at the start of the 4th quarter, Edgerrin James took the team on his back and accounted for 63 of the game tying 76 yard TD drive. The Cardinals D answered the call, forcing the Vikings into a three and out, followed by Kurt Warner driving the offense just far enough for Neil Rackers to kick a 26 yard go ahead field goal. A Tavaris Jackson interception gave the Cardinals hope and although they did not score again, they ran out enough of the clock and stopped the Vikings offense yet again to come away with the victory 20-17.

Player of the game: Edgerrin James 23 attempts 114 yards, 1 TD


NFL NIT Championship Matchups

(3) Arizona @ (1) Philadelphia

(2) Houston @ (1) Cleveland


Arizona is obviously the story of the tournament so far. Will they continue their Cinderella run or will they be knocked off by my un-simulated prediction, Philadelphia? In the AFC, will Cleveland prove that they could have had a better run than Tennessee in the actual playoffs, or will Houston continue their surprising season and show they are a force to be reckoned with next year?

Stay tuned!

2007 NFL NIT Tournament (w/ What if Sports)

For anyone who read the previous iteration of this idea I had, you know I took the 6 best teams in each conference that didn’t make the playoffs and pitted them against each other in a runner’s up NIT style tournament. Unfortunately, I did this a week or so before being informed about the fantastic What if Sports. In version 1.0, I picked all the games myself – and as we all know, I have a tendency to be a bit daft at times. So, without further ado here is what would have REALLY happened in the 2007 NFL NIT Tournament.

First off, let’s take a look at the seeds:

AFC

1.) Cleveland

2.) Houston

3.) Buffalo

4.) Cincinnati

5.) Denver

6.) Baltimore


NFC

1.) Philadelphia

2.) Minnesota

3.) Arizona

4.) Carolina

5.) Detroit

6.) Chicago


The first part of this series will detail the Wild Card games. As stated before, all games will be simulated using http://whatifsports.com and normal NFL playoff seeding/home field advantage rules. Standing injuries from the end of the season and who was starting will be taken into account (e.g.: unfortunately for the Ravens, Troy Smith will be leading them at QB through the tournament). Also, I took a look at the average temperature in the given home cities during January and rolled dice for precipitation (1, 3, meant there was precipitation with 1 being light, 3 moderate and factored in wind with the given precipitation… I’m a dork, I know this).


(6) Baltimore @ (3) Buffalo (25 degrees, clear skies)

The first game of the NFL NIT playoffs proved to be a thrilling one, with overtime needed to decide a victor. With less than six minutes to go in the 4th quarter and Troy Smith bowing out of the game with an injury, Kyle Boller led his team 53 yards for a touchdown as well as the 2 point conversion to tie it at 21. Baltimore’s defense couldn’t hold Buffalo in overtime though, allowing a 29 yarder by Ryan Lindell to catapult the Bills into the NIT Divisional round with a 24-21 victory.

Player of the game: Trent Edwards 20/29 298 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT


(5) Detroit @ (4) Carolina (40 degrees, clear skies)

Although this game got off to a slow start in the first half the second half could go down as perhaps the best in the NFL NIT history. Down 10-6 at the half, Carolina stormed right out the gate, quickly making it 13-10. Each team would go back and forth scoring on each consecutive drive. At the 1:30 minute mark, Detroit was up 31-10. Veteran Vinny Testaverde (filling in for an injured Matt Moore) would have none of that – marching the team down field and allowing John Casey to knock through a 42 yarder to send the Panthers into the next round.

Player of the game: Vinny Testaverde 19/28 267 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT


(6) Chicago @ (3) Arizona (70 degrees, clear skies)

Although they were only up 10-3 at halftime, the Cardinals wasted no time in the second half cushioning their lead. Two unanswered touchdowns and a field goal later, the score was 27-3 and although the Bears mounted somewhat of a comeback, scoring 10 more points of their own, they were never really in it. Both Kurt Warner and Edgerrin James had great days and it seemed they could score at will. The Cardinals won this one without too much difficulty 30-13.

Player of the game: Anquan Boldin 8 receptions 165 yards, 2 TDs


(5) Denver @ (4) Cincinnati (25 degrees, flurries, light wind)

Although rallying to within 3 points after being down by 18 with less than eight minutes left, the Denver Broncos just couldn’t get the ball back at the end of the game to tie it up. Cincinnati appeared to have the game in hand 31-13 at the eight minute mark of the fourth quarter, trying to cruise through the rest of the game. The Bengals almost let the Broncos back in it, although in the end, they were too much for Mike Shanahan’s team. The Bengals complete the Wild Card round favorites sweep 31-28.

Player of the game: Carson Palmer 21/35 289 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT


NFL NIT Divisional Round Matchups:

(4) Cincinnati @ (1) Cleveland

(3) Buffalo @ (2) Houston

(4) Carolina @ (1) Philadelphia

(3) Arizona @ (2) Minnesota


Stay tuned!

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